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Robert Aumann and Lloyd Shapley analysed games of the many

With Lloyd Shapley, Robert Aumann wrote Values of Non-Atomic Games in 1974, extending game theory to markets and elections with huge numbers of players and giving rise to the Aumann–Shapley value.

Robert Aumann
Robert Aumann · b. 1930
Person
Robert Aumann
Lived
b. 1930
Field
Game theory
From
Israeli-American

The story

Classic game theory deals with a handful of players. Many important situations, however, involve thousands or millions of participants, each with almost no influence alone: buyers and sellers in a market, or voters in a national election. In such games individuals matter only when they combine into large groups. Robert Aumann, a mathematician at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, set out to build a mathematics for these games of the many.

His partner in the work was Lloyd Shapley of the RAND Corporation in Santa Monica, California. In 1951 Shapley had introduced what became known as the Shapley value, a method for dividing the gains or costs of a joint project fairly among the people who took part. It works by averaging how much each participant adds when they join every possible group of the others, and it is the only method that meets a short list of basic fairness conditions.

Together, Aumann and Shapley wrote Values of Non-Atomic Games, published by Princeton University Press in 1974. The book extended the Shapley value to games with a continuum of players, in which no single participant is large enough to matter on their own. Its central result, now known as the Aumann–Shapley value, includes a formula, often called the diagonal formula, that makes the calculation workable for such games. It was later extended further by Jean-François Mertens and Abraham Neyman, who wrote his own doctoral thesis on values of games with a continuum of players under Aumann's supervision in 1977.

The work helped connect cooperative game theory with economic theory about large competitive markets. It showed that ideas about fairness and bargaining developed for small groups could be carried over, with care, to whole economies. Aumann and Shapley also collaborated on perfect equilibria in repeated games while working together at RAND in 1976, research that the Nobel committee cited when Aumann shared the 2005 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.

Shapley went on to win a Nobel Prize of his own in 2012, for the theory of stable allocations and the practice of market design. The ideas behind the Shapley value, and its extension to very large games, are now used well beyond economics, from dividing profits in business partnerships to measuring how much each input contributes to the predictions of machine-learning models.

Why it matters

The Aumann–Shapley approach is used to allocate shared costs and gains fairly among many contributors, for example among the users of a common service or the parts of a business.

About Robert Aumann

German-born Orthodox Jewish mathematician in Jerusalem whose theory of repeated games showed how cooperation can last between rivals; Nobel Prize in Economics 2005.

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Another act of tikkun olam. This is part of tikkun olam, the Jewish idea of repairing the world, and every one of us can add to it.

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