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Von Neumann launched computer weather forecasting

In 1950 John von Neumann and Jule Charney used ENIAC to make the first numerical weather forecasts; in 1955 routine computer forecasting began in the US.

John von Neumann
John von Neumann · 1903–1957
Person
John von Neumann
Lived
1903–1957
Field
Mathematics & computing
From
Hungarian-American

The story

John von Neumann saw early that the new electronic computers could tackle one of the oldest problems in science: predicting the weather. The atmosphere is a fluid governed by known physical laws, but solving the equations by hand was impossibly slow. He also noticed that the problems resembled the fluid calculations he had worked on during the Manhattan Project.

In 1946 he founded the Meteorological Project at the Institute for Advanced Study, securing funding from the Weather Bureau and the weather services of the US Air Force and Navy. With Carl-Gustaf Rossby, then the leading theoretical meteorologist, he gathered about twenty meteorologists, but at first little was accomplished because his other work left him too little time to lead it.

That changed when the young meteorologist Jule Charney took up its leadership. By 1950 von Neumann and Charney had written what Wikipedia describes as the world's first climate modelling software, and used the ENIAC computer, whose use von Neumann had arranged, to make the first numerical weather forecasts. The team published the results as Numerical Integration of the Barotropic Vorticity Equation. The forecasts were primitive, but news of them spread quickly and inspired parallel projects around the world.

In 1955 von Neumann, Charney and their collaborators persuaded their funders to open the Joint Numerical Weather Prediction Unit in Suitland, Maryland, which began routine, real-time computer weather forecasting. Von Neumann then organised a conference at Princeton on modelling the general circulation of the atmosphere, which led to a research section that later became the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory. He continued to work on the technical problems of modelling and to make sure the projects kept their funding.

Von Neumann and Charney also played a leading role in efforts to bring the exchange of energy and moisture between sea and air into the study of climate.

Why it matters

Every weather forecast on a phone or television descends from the computer prediction von Neumann championed, and the storm warnings it makes possible save lives.

About John von Neumann

Budapest-born mathematician whose 1945 EDVAC report set out the stored-program design behind almost every computer, and who helped found game theory and modern quantum mechanics.

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John von Neumann
1903–1957 · Mathematics & computing
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