Did you know? · Business & Tech

Harry Markowitz turned diversification into a science

In his 1952 paper “Portfolio Selection”, Harry Markowitz showed mathematically how investors can reduce risk through diversification, founding modern portfolio theory.

Person
Harry Markowitz
Lived
1927–2023
Field
Financial economics
From
American

The story

Harry Markowitz was born in Chicago in 1927, the only child of Morris and Mildred Markowitz, who ran a small grocery store. As a teenager he enjoyed popular books on physics and astronomy and began reading philosophy, and he was struck by David Hume's argument that no number of observations can prove what will happen next time. At the University of Chicago he chose economics and was drawn to the economics of uncertainty, studying under Milton Friedman, Jacob Marschak, Leonard Savage and Tjalling Koopmans. He was also invited to become a student member of the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics.

When he had to choose a dissertation topic, a chance conversation suggested applying mathematics to the stock market. Marschak, his adviser, thought it reasonable and told him that Alfred Cowles, the commission's founder, had been interested in such questions.

The key idea came to Markowitz one afternoon in the library while reading John Burr Williams's Theory of Investment Value. Williams proposed valuing a stock by its expected future dividends. If investors cared only about expected returns, Markowitz reasoned, they would put all their money in a single stock. But real investors diversify, because they care about risk as well as return. Markowitz proposed measuring risk by variance, and showed that a portfolio's risk depends not only on the risk of each asset but on how assets move together. Investors, he argued, should choose from the combinations offering the best trade-off between risk and return.

His paper "Portfolio Selection" appeared in the Journal of Finance in March 1952, and he received his doctorate from Chicago in 1954. The Nobel committee later said that people had long known not to put all their eggs in one basket, but that Markowitz developed the first rigorous, operational theory of portfolio selection under uncertainty.

Markowitz became known as the father of modern portfolio theory. UC San Diego noted that his breakthrough has permeated all aspects of money management, replacing the earlier practice of simply picking shares in a handful of companies thought to have the best prospects.

Why it matters

Modern portfolio theory gave savers, pension funds and investment managers a disciplined way to balance risk and return, helping people protect their savings by spreading risk sensibly.

About Harry Markowitz

Chicago grocer’s son whose 1952 paper ‘Portfolio Selection’ founded modern portfolio theory, the mathematics of diversification behind how the world invests. Nobel 1990.

Read the full profile
Harry Markowitz
1927–2023 · Financial economics
View profile →

More about Harry Markowitz

Sources

Another act of tikkun olam. This is part of tikkun olam, the Jewish idea of repairing the world, and every one of us can add to it.

More in Business & Tech

On kindness & the treatment of others
“A friend is devoted at all times; a brother is born to share adversity.”
Proverbs 17:17